Mountain West Picks – Week 5

The Mountain West schedule heats up in Week 5 with several intriguing matchups, including a rivalry game in New Mexico, an SEC test for Utah State, and Boise State defending the blue turf. Through four weeks, the picks have been sharp, with a 28–11 record on straight-up winners, and the aim is to keep the momentum rolling.

Vanderbilt is off to a strong start, undefeated against the spread and showing legitimate offensive balance. Utah State has flashed upside, but traveling cross-country to face an SEC opponent with size and speed in the trenches is a tall order. Pick: Vanderbilt

The Aztecs bring a stingy defense into DeKalb, but their offense remains inconsistent. Northern Illinois isn’t overpowering, but the Huskies play cleaner, mistake-free football and have the benefit of home-field advantage. In a low-scoring battle, discipline may prove decisive. Pick: Northern Illinois

The Rio Grande Rivalry returns with both teams seeking bragging rights. New Mexico State’s passing attack has been erratic, while New Mexico counters with a steadier, more balanced offense and a defense that has held firm against tougher competition. The Lobos look better prepared to control this one. Pick: New Mexico

A clash of identities: Air Force pounds the ground game, while Hawai‘i prefers to air it out. The Warriors’ defense has held up surprisingly well and may be the key to victory against a one-dimensional Falcons attack. With their ability to strike quickly through the air, Hawai‘i is positioned for an upset. Pick: Hawai‘i

Neither side has yet found its rhythm. San Jose State boasts the more efficient offense on paper, but Stanford has been tested against one of the nation’s toughest schedules. Returning home, the Cardinal’s physical edge should be enough to separate in what figures to be a grinder. Pick: Stanford

Washington State has struggled mightily in recent weeks, surrendering nearly 60 points each of the last two games. Their defense has holes, and the running game is practically nonexistent. Colorado State may not wow statistically, but the Rams’ balance and home atmosphere tilt the matchup in their favor. Pick: Colorado State

Boise State welcomes Appalachian State to the blue turf, where the Broncos rarely stumble. Boise has been efficient both through the air and on the ground, while App State’s numbers are inflated by a soft schedule. Expect Boise’s experience and depth to prove decisive in front of the home crowd. Pick: Boise State

Season Record: 28–11 (straight-up winners)